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Zardari Loses this Round

July 28th, 2008 · Shaan Akbar · 7 Comments

On July 26th, it was announced that Prime Minister Gilani’s cabinet had taken the decision to place the ISI under the complete control of the Interior Ministry. As our sources reported, uproar ensued in the military establishment and less than 24 hours later, the decision was reversed.

Zardari’s Miscalculation
It’s an open secret that Benazir Bhutto’s widower, Asif Ali Zardari, calls the shots in the current government, not Gilani. According to Insider Brief sources, the decision to place the ISI under the Interior Ministry and thereby Interior Minister Rehman Malik, was Zardari’s decision. Sources further state that Zardari miscalculated and did not anticipate the response the decision received. Like a kid with a stick, he prodded too hard only to awaken a nest of (khaki) hornets.

Kayani Intervenes
In our last post, we indicated that Pakistan’s Army Chief, Gen. Ashfaq Kayani, would have to respond forcefully to the government’s decision so as not to appear weak, but also, to defend his turf; the ISI for all practical purposes, answers to the Chief of Army Staff. Insider Brief sources report that the night of the announcement, Kayani personally intervened and ensured that the decision was reversed.

Aftermath
The government’s initial decision should not be contextualized within the framework of US-Pakistani relations. This was not about “reining” in Pakistani intelligence at the behest of the Americans. This was an attempt by Zardari to halt ISI activity against the PPP government in Punjab and gain full control of what is essentially Pakistan’s most powerful “policy” tool. He overplayed his hand against what he perceived was a discredited and demoralized military. Now, he will likely have to face the consequences of increased hostility from the establishment and a possible intensification of the campaign to unseat his government.

With each passing day, a once golden opportunity to turn things around for Pakistan is slipping from the grasp of the Pakistan People’s Party. There’s still time to take a stand, make some bold policy decisions and reverse the atrophy that is nibbling away at the current government. Pakistan can no longer afford more of the same.

Tags: Ashfaq Kayani · Ashfaq Kiyani · Asif Zardari · Chief of Army Staff · ISI · Inter-services Intelligence · Pakistan Army · Pakistan People's Party · Rehman Malik · Relations with United States · Yousaf Raza Gilani

7 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Tahir Naqash // Jul 29, 2008 at 1:26 am

    This has proved how so called democratic party(PPP) is weak and doesn’t have the ability and courage to bring change in our motherland;the true ruler in Pakistan is military and its corrupt general.PPP lost the golden oppurtunity to put military out of politics .Now with every passing day,the party is getting weaker and weaker and has threat to its existance.

  • 2 Zardari Loses this Round « Indus Asia Online Journal (iaoj) // Jul 29, 2008 at 9:24 am

    […] http://www.pakintel.com/2008/07/28/zardari-loses-this-round/ […]

  • 3 Kalsoom // Jul 29, 2008 at 3:06 pm

    Great site and analysis! Will def be keeping up with your posts…

  • 4 imran // Jul 29, 2008 at 5:44 pm

    shaan i agree with u that there was opportunity to turn around things in pakistan but window is losed for ppp for ever beacuse that window closed the day BB killed rest shows no home work and even dont know how to deal stregic issues and geo politics they wasted time on PM and cj what a goof they were.

  • 5 noman habib // Jul 30, 2008 at 6:27 am

    1.Zardari does not have guts to pull it all by himself
    He is too sure that US will bail him out.Musharaf and Zardari may not like each other but once they
    go to G.W. Bush it is
    ”Teri sarkar mein pohnchay tow sabhi eik huay”
    It was a safe gamble any way.
    2.It is still unlikely that Musharaf will use 58 2 (B)
    3.Kiyani has done good job again without being heard.
    4.This round has gone in favour of Musharaf

  • 6 Storm on the Horizon for Pakistan | The Insider Brief // Aug 6, 2008 at 2:10 am

    […] ← Zardari Loses this Round […]

  • 7 Storm on the Horizon for Pakistan « Indus Asia Online Journal (iaoj) // Aug 6, 2008 at 3:31 pm

    […] and impeach Musharraf? There are two, contrasting explanations. The first is desperation. After his failed attempt to gain control of the ISI as well as ISI efforts to undermine his government (for the purposes of […]

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